Today's Post

    More on the Post-Keynesian Smackdown: Subway Tokens Edition Mosler is perfectly willing to have governments create money for their own spending. He does not see that as necessarily inflationary, apparently because the same governments can always tamp down on inflation through the tax system.

    I’d like to supplement my earlier observations about the debate hosted by Columbia Law School on June 3 over two distinct post-Keynesian heresies. At about 49 minutes into this livestream recording, Mosler launches into an analogy between the money supply and an old-fashioned metallic subway token. He says that an observer might see the passengers putting the tokens into the receptacle, then proceeding to the train. He may also observe that the Authority in charge of the subway system eventually empties the receptacle, allowing for the reuse of the tokens. The naïve observer might think the Authority is charging tokens in order to pay for the subway system. “First they collect the tokens and then they issue them” a visitor from out of town might say. Spending or Taxing Now: which comes first? In terms of a nation’s currency, whether the currency is a stamped gold coin, paper packed by gold, or paper simply issued and declared to be currency, the natural temptation is to suppose that the payment comes first. The government charges ...

Featured Post


CAIA Corner: The Keys to Successful Investing by Endowments and Foundations

Endowments and foundations typically are considered the early adopters in alternative investments. Watch this video with CAIA Association's Director of Curriculum Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA, as he explains the different structures of endowments and foundations and why they are uniquely geared for successful alternative investing.

Endowments and foundations typically are considered the early adopters in alternative investments. Watch this video with CAIA Association's Director of Curriculum Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA, as he explains the different structures of endowments and foundations and why they are uniquely geared for successful alternative investing.


Top 10 Operational Risks: The first two risk areas in a 10-part series

Operational risk within investment management firms can stem from many sources. Firms also have varying tolerance levels for accepting or handling such risk.

Operational risk within investment management firms can stem from many sources. Firms also have varying tolerance levels for accepting or handling such risk. SEI believes virtually every firm can benefit from taking a fresh look at common areas of risk and consider the variety of relatively straightforward risk management measures that can readily be deployed. In that spirit, SEI put together a 10-part guide as an effective risk management tool to set the foundation for operational excellence. Below are excerpts ...

Guest Posts


Going Public: Endowment performance at our great state universities
Guest columnist Charles Skorina looks at the performance of the "public ivies."

By Charles Skorina In our last letter we took a hard look at recent investment performance among the eight Ivy League endowments. [See NL44 at http://www.charlesskorina.com/775/] As a bonus we added four "Alt-Ivys" to round it up to an even dozen.  These are all, of course, privately-funded institutions. Now, we turn to the cream of our state-supported schools, the twelve Public Ivys. The traditional Private Ivy endowments, including Harvard and Yale, get lots of scrutiny for obvious reasons.  They control a lot of money; they're ...


Regulatory

New Tweaks to MiFID/MiFIR Recall College Daze
MiFIR includes provisions that allow for "dark pools" and that limit the size -- or, if you will, the depth -- of such pools. On June 10, 2013, authorities in Brussels released a new proposal for tweaks of MiFIR in general and these provisions in particular.

Certain contemporary developments in Europe remind me of an incident that took place while I was attending college. A buddy of mine (whom I will call Ted) was arrested for driving intoxicated on a sidewalk in the downtown area of the small mid-Hudson Valley city nearest our campus. On his behalf it can at least be said that he was driving slowly: anybody there had plenty of time to get out of his way. I went to the police station to pick Ted up. I should mention that this was before ...

Hedge Fund Industry Trends

Marketing Closer or Poseur? How to Identify the First and Avoid the Second
Guest columnist Diane Harrison takes a hard look at asset raising and the people who do it.

By Diane Harrison A universal theme in alternative assets is investor money looking for a place to land.  Uncommitted cash, underperforming assets, and professional laggards throughout the alternative channels all contribute to a common investor desire to find purposeful options to meet their objectives. It should be a marketer’s dream: money wanting to be placed and hungry managers actively seeking new investor partners.  So why is the connection missing between the two? So Much Water Yet So Little To Drink Investors are clearly voicing their desire for smaller managers who can provide returns ...

Currencies

Post-Keynesian Smackdown at Columbia
The dispute framed by a June 3d debate at Columbia Law School will define the future (and no very-distant future either) of economic policy in the western world and of the fate of all the currencies involved. The question will be: after Keynes, what? We owe thanks to everybody involved in arranging for the Murphy/Mosler debate.

Columbia Law School hosted a revealing debate June 3 between prominent advocates of two sharply opposed schools of thought on monetary and fiscal policy. The debate pitted Robert Murphy, an avowed ‘Austrian,’ and Associated Scholar at the Ludwig von Mises Institute, against Warren Mosler, the central figure of a school of thought that calls itself “Modern Monetary Theory.” Murphy (pictured above) received a Ph.D. from New York University in 2003 with a dissertation on “Unanticipated Intertemporal Change in Theories of Interest.” In the debate Monday he defended the views generally associated with the ...

Timely Research

PrevInvest: No Wind in Sails of Long/Short Equity
PrevInvest begins a new report by documenting the doldrums in which long/short equity is stuck. As a first approximation because in the post-crisis world, certain traditional forms of stock-picker virtue have gone unrewarded.

PrevInvest, in its May 2013 Investment Themes, provides a discussion of why long/short equity, also known as “equity hedged,” has experienced poor performance against market benchmarks over the last half decade.  This is something of a flagship for the industry. It is the strategy that gave “hedge funds” their name, after all: it is the strategy of A.W. Jones! PrevInvest’s discussion of the numbers leads it into important related matters: the statistical relationship between fund size and performance, for example, and the variable value of a fundamental approach to investing. Long/Short Equity ...

Institutional Investing

Natixis on Investing by ‘Road Maps:’ Institutional Cartographic Confidence
Eighty-nine percent of the respondents in a newly released Natixis survey of institutions said they expect they will be able to meet their future obligations. But they aren't as optimistic about the fate of individuals in their own countries who are now trying to save for retirement.

When I think of a “road map” I have a very old-school image in mind, one of those fold-up things drivers used to keep in the glove compartment before new-fangled talking-dashboard computers came into our world to give us turn-by-turn directions. It is with that older image in my head that I read what John T. Hailer, chief executive officer of Natixis Global Asset Management, said in a release. “The old roadmap no longer guides investors ...

Performance, Analytics & Metrics

Squeezed Margins and a Move to the Clouds
The world of cash equities trading is changing and will continue to change, says Celent. Brokerages will have to outsource in order to reduce costs and restore their margins: and some of the outsourcing will involve "the cloud."

The archeologists of the distant future will no doubt tell of the great 21st shift of the human race from terra firma into cloud cities. Or, at least, the business jargon of our day makes it seem as if exactly that shift is underway. This is clear for example, from Celent’s new report on the future of cash equities trading operations. The report begins with certain well-known facts about the equities business for brokerages in the ...

Behavioral finance

Natural-Language Processing: After the Initial Buzz
You can't expect to harvest much alpha if you simply buy on good sentiment as measured through news or on the web, and sell on negative sentiment. As the authors of this white paper put it in quant-speak, such predictive value as these measures have 'does not translate ... cleanly into return space.'"

A new white paper from Deutsche Bank Markets Research cautions traders that although they can enhance the value they get from traditional quantitative signals by overlaying information from the web and news sources, the use of such sources is far from a “magic bullet.” Its efficacy will be somewhat less than its enthusiasts circa 2009 hoped. At that time, “news sentiment and natural language processing was one of the hottest topics in quant” they write. The ...

Regulatory

Push-back Grows Against the FTT and Its Cascade
“The analyses we’ve done show that the project, as it has been prepared by the commission, will first of all raise nothing at all, there’ll be no revenue,” one prominent Euro-banker says. According to earlier forecasts, the FTT was supposed to raise between €30 and €35 billion. So the prospective return has gone from €35 billion to zero?

A financial transaction tax goes into effect in some parts of the EU on January 1, 2014: unless, that is, the Powers that Be can prevent it.  That would be … the same powers that have brought it this close to implementation. The proposal is for a levy of 0.1% on stock and bond trades and a level of 0.01% on trades in derivatives.  That may seem small but, as Clifford Chance observed in a briefing ...