Contact Us

|

About

|

Search

Daily Report

Research Dossiers

Hall of Fame

Bookstore

Events

Links

Have Your Say

Alpha Ticker:

Nav_3PA.gif mar 1
Nav Trends Mar 1
Nav Replication Mar 1
Nav All Cat Mar 1
SPON Morgan Mar 1
Spons Integra Mar 1
Spons CAIA mar 1
 

 

   Media Partners

terr mar 1
Sponsor_Button_lipper.gif
Sponsor_2ndRank_OPAL.gif
Sponsor_2ndRank_FIN.gif
Sponsor_2ndRank_IQ.gif
Sponsor_2ndRank_newstex.gif
Seeking.gif

  

   

 

Subscribe Now

Browse by Category

Home » Category List » Uncategorized

 

“Portable Alpha Theory & Practice”: Exclusive chapter downloads at AllAboutAlpha.com

8 May 2008

Last week, we recommended a new book on portable alpha called “Portable Alpha Theory and Practice”.  It’s about more than just portable alpha per se and includes chapters on the nature of alpha, LDI, alpha-beta separation and implementation issues.

Impressed with what we saw in the book, we called up its author Sabrina Callin and have now arranged to provide you, the loyal AllAboutAlpha.com reader, with two of its chapters for free. 

Today, we give you chapter one - the introduction by Callin that provides a good summary of the entire book.  And next week, we’ll post the Epilogue by Callin’s PIMCO colleague Chris Dialynas.

But for those who are totally pressed for time, here’s a “summary of the summary” reflected by the chapter titles and a few key excerpts from chapter one:

  • Borrowing to Achieve Higher Returns: “If you stop to think about it, there is not a single application that falls under this now very broad portable alpha umbrella that does not involve some form of borrowing…”
  • Leverage - The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: “A relevant corollary may be the assumption that passive indexing is the most conservative approach to investing.  This is simply not true…”
  • The Confusion Surrounding Portable Alpha: “Part of the confusion among investors when it comes to risk and return in a portable alpha context lies with the increasingly casual and often theoretically incorrect use of the alpha and beta terms in our industry.”

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



1X0/X0 and the hunt for African alpha

1 May 2008

Last September, we noted that hedge funds in South Africa and several other off-the-beaten-path places seemed to be holding up okay through the August storm.  Now with gold prices flirting with all time highs, South African managers (hedge and long-only) seem to be attracting a lot of renewed interest.  The April edition of Institutional Investor magazine shines a light on South Africa.  Next week, Terrapinn will be hosting an “Alpha Beta Summit” in Cape Town.  And last month HedgeWeek published a special report on the country’s hedge fund industry.  HedgeWeek observed in an article published alongside the report that since March 2004, the South African hedge fund index had grown by nearly 20% per annum (vs. 12% for the MSCI World). 

But is it really alpha?   To address this question for us, we welcome the following guest contribution from Helena Conradie of major South African money manager Sanlam Investment Management.  Helena is the Head of Sanlam Investment Management’s equity quant boutique that manages over R21 billion.  She is a CFA charterholder and has an MSc in Applied Mathematics Cum Laude from Stellenbosch University.  

 

Special to AllAboutAlpha.com by: Helena Conradie, SIM Equity Quants

In just more than 18 months people all over the world will flock to South Africa to attend the world cup soccer event, paying generously to see amazing flair and display of talent. But would they consider South Africa as the location for amazing alpha?

At any given time there is a finite amount of alpha available for fund managers to hunt.  And as we all know, it is “all about alpha!”  The diversity of stock returns across all sectors (the cross-sectional volatility) is a good indication of the presence of alpha.  So does the South African rainbow provide the alpha hunter with enough diversity?

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



More media malarkey

30 April 2008

Canada’s National Post reports that the FBI is now warning of hedge fund fraud (”FBI Warns of Hedge Fund Fraud“).  But in actuality, FBI Director Robert Meuller gave a 2,000 word speech last week in which “hedge fund” appeared only once - after a lengthy discussion corporate fraud, public corruption, insider trading, mortgage fraud and Conrad Black.  The one reference to hedge funds…

“These investigations may well lead to other instances of fraud, from investment banks and private equity firms to hedge funds.”

…Not quite the “warning” trumpted by the Post.

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Media turns hostile: 130/30 now “dubious” “overblown” “faddish” “hype”

21 April 2008

As the footnote to Chuck Jaffe’s recent MarketWatch piece on 130/30 suggests, his opinion carries a lot of weight (”His work appears in dozens of US newspapers”).  So when he presented such a negative view of short-extension strategies, we felt compelled to explore his arguments further.  Unfortunately, while he presents an adequate understanding of the strategy, he is too quick to write off the approach.  

His April 20th commentary is entitled “Long on shortcomings: Numbers don’t add up for faddish 130/30 funds” and his main argument is that “early returns don’t seem to justify the hype”.  While that may indeed be the case, extrapolating from these early returns is premature at best and totally inappropriate at worst. 

Headline-writers as “dozens of US newspapers” are getting creative with Jaffe’s piece:

Stretching the data 

Unfortunately, readers in dozens of US cities are now getting the wrong idea about 130/30 funds. 

For example, Jaffe references research conducted by the UK-based Investment Week magazine:

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



European institutions apparently staying the course on hedge funds

16 April 2008

US hedge fund managers aren’t the only ones bullish on their sector.  Mercer recently released the results of a survey of European institutional investors that concluded hedge funds were “targeted for increased exposure” by European institutions. 

And State Street Global Advisors reiterated its bullish position on the hedge fund industry in this Thomson Investment News article.  Reports Thomson:

“UK pension schemes are still aiming for the 15 percent allocation to hedge funds widely forecast in 2007 - but in the wake of the credit crisis are more focused on fund of hedge fund structures and replication strategies, according to State Street Global Advisors.”

 

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



A Reader Responds: Yes, there is Alternative Beta (and Alpha) in Alternative Energy

26 March 2008

Alternative energy is one of a whole set of new asset classes facing institutional investors.  Like portable alpha and 130/30, it has created a new set of opportunities and risks for both investors and managers.  So what better way is there to explore an emerging market such as “Clean Tech” than to examine its alpha-generating potential?  Thus, last fall we stacked a major alternative energy ETF against an energy ETF.  But to our surprise, we found very little sustained outperformance.

Several of you wrote in to say we were ignoring the social benefits of clean technology (which we were) or that we were trying to evaluate these technologies solely on the basis of cold hard numbers (which we also were).  But one of Canada’s leading clean tech fund managers wrote in to acknowledge our analysis and suggest why there is still alpha potential in alternative energy.  What follows is an interesting, and refreshingly dispassionate, perspective on this issue by Greg Payne, the lead portfolio manager at Investeco Financial, an environment sector fund manager.

Special to AllAboutAlpha.com by: Greg Payne Investeco Financial

In a posting on November 26, 2007 (“Is There Alternative Beta in Alternative Energy”) AllAboutAlpha’s “Alpha Male” states that alternative energy returns over the past year have been both significantly correlated to general energy prices, and highly volatile.  This is true.  But as Alpha Male admits, alternative energy may provide alpha and alternative beta in the future in ways that we have not seen in the past.  For good reason, it will.  This is precisely why active management will yield significant benefits in this sector.  

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Lendex aims for transparency - mostly

24 March 2008

“The securities industry and clearing agencies don’t seem to recognize that it’s only a matter of time before these problems catch up with them and kill off the goose that is, at present, laying very golden eggs. The securities industry needs to seize control and propose effective remedies to increase transparency in stock lending and borrowing.”

(former SEC Chairman Harvey Pitt, Forbes, July 11, 2006)

For a company that aims to lift the vale on the opaque world of securities lending, New Jersey-based Lendex LLC has so far been pretty tight-lipped about its own service.  In January, HedgeWorld learned that the firm was planning to launch an electronic exchange that would match securities lenders and borrowers.  But little had been heard from the firm until Global Pensions recently reported that Lendex is expecting to launch its service in Q2 of this year. 

They’re not the only game in town, though.  Venture-backed Quadriserv launched Aquas, a “technology portal to the securities lending industry last August.  But Lendex is of particular interest because one of its founders is Harvey Pitt, former SEC Chairman (or more specifically, his consulting company).

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Hate the dentist? Then you’ll be happy about this story…

20 March 2008

“Anti-dentites” out there will no doubt remember this episode from TV’s Seinfeld (YouTube video):

Jerry: I made this little dentist joke and he got all offended.  Those people.  They can be so touchy. 
Kramer: “Those people”?  Listen to yourself!  You think that dentists are so different from me and you?  They came to this country like everybody else in search of a dream!
Jerry: But he’s from Jersey!
Kramer: Yeah, and now he’s a full fledged American!
Jerry: Kramer, he’s just a dentist.
Kramer: And you are an ANTI-DENTITE!”

Jerry Seinfeld would be pleased to read the latest news from the crossroads of hedge funds and the oral care profession.  FINalternatives reports today that a former dentist has been ordered by the Colorado Division of Securities to stop marketing his hedge fund in that state.  According to the Denver Post, the state wasn’t impressed that several individuals who were not technically qualified to buy hedge funds were invited to a reception featuring the hedge fund.

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Weekly AAA Newsreel

20 March 2008

Below is out (shortened) weekly round-up of stories in which you might be interested, but which didn’t graduate to full stories on AllAboutAlpha.com.  As usual, all these stories are listed in the scrolling news ticker you see at the top of your screen.

Lawrence Cohen, a NY lawyer, dives deeper into the legal issues surrounding the Bulldog Investors case.  Says Cohen, “The tension between freedom of speech and non-public offerings may come down to a determination of the meaning of the term ‘offering.’ Some would argue that the availability on a hedge fund’s Web site of a document that can be read by anyone constitutes a ‘public offering,’…”

Is it any wonder hedge funds aren’t clamoring to voluntarily register with the SEC?  Bloomberg reports that the regulator has only just abandoned its efforts to get hedge funds to fill out a 27 page questionnaire.

The European head of investment consulting at Watson Wyatt tells Pensions & Investments that, “We’re only in the early stages, but (alternative beta) is attracting a lot of interest at the moment…Right now, those who are looking at this are the very big clients with a lot of resources. But in time, (alternative beta) should attract the smaller to medium-size funds interested in diversifying away from the equity risk premium.”  

A new study finds that 80% of investment consultants will focus on alternative investments this year - prompting one of its authors to say “We knew alternatives would be important…We did not know the extent to which this would drive flows.”

Paul Sarbanes and Michael Oxley tell Indian media that “The only way to get a regulatory regime for hedge funds is a huge scandal.” 

After being blamed for sparking the whole sub-prime mess in the first place, it now appears that hedge funds might be “riding to the rescue” of at least one wounded mortgage company.  Similarly ironic are recent reports that several hedge funds cleaned up on Bear’s collapse - a downfall precipitated by the collapse of Bear’s own hedge fund last summer.  Which all goes to show that hedge funds defy blanket characterizations.

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



The End of (asset management) History?

12 March 2008

In his famous 1989 essay “The End of History?” (and subsequent book), author Francis Fukuyama argued that the the age-old battle between liberal democracy and other (more totalitarian) forms of government was quickly coming to an end.  Since such battles had been the hallmark of human history, history itself was therefore coming to an “end”.  

To a great extent the history of investment management (at least, since Markowitz) can be described as similarly bipolar struggle - this one between active and passive management.  Efficient market theorists would argue that the final pitched battles between the two sides are being fought in the mutual fund and ETF industries - with ETF’s destined to triumph.  However, proponents of active management point to the hedge fund industry as proof that active management is not only alive and well, but is consolidating its forces.  Are either of these the final epic battles in the history of asset management? 

A couple of news items yesterday suggest the balance of power is tilting toward the efficient market theorists.  First, Mark Hulbert writes about Kenneth French’s latest paper, “The Cost of Active Management” in the New York Times.  As far as we can see, the paper has not yet been released to the public.  So Hulbert’s interpretation is all we have to go on for now.

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Emotion + “Radical Neuroscience” = Alpha

6 March 2008

If alpha is defined as the element of returns that results from pure human skill and creativity, then it follows that alpha is - in part - the result of a quintessentially human characteristic: emotion.  Denise K. Shull, M.A. is President of Trader Psyches Inc., a consulting firm specializing in both market and trader psychology.  In today’s guest posting, she cites new neuroscientific studies that suggest, in her words, ”emotion is a critical source of alpha”.

How science is showing that emotion, feelings and intuition can lead to alpha

Special to AllAboutAlpha.com by: Denise Shull, M.A., Founder, Trader Psyches

If 485 respondents to a recent Watson Wyatt/Financial Times Survey should be believed, we face a protracted shortage of alpha.  Despite slicing and dicing portable alpha, alternative beta, returns or holdings-based alpha, excess returns remain elusive.  Where can we find more?  Has anything - or anywhere - been overlooked?

Infused within our market analyses and woven into our models, lies the quest to bet correctly on the future price of an asset.  Alpha materializes when we figure out before the next guy what he or she will want or need to buy next week, next month or next year.

Does this fortune-telling aspect suggest buying The Complete Idiot’s Guide to Psychic Awareness?  Before anyone runs to Barnes & Noble, let’s re-examine this decision making process.  No, I don’t mean the morning trade desk meeting or the endless crunching of scenarios with variable implied volatilities.  I mean a human being using their brain to evaluate information, draw conclusions and execute a trade.  But how exactly does a brain do that?

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



CIO of the North Dakota State Investment Board on why he chose 130/30

27 February 2008

We talk a lot about the theory behind 1X0/X0 strategies.  But given the nascence of this sub-sector, it has been difficult to come up with any real-life examples about which to write.  Today, however, we welcome guest contributor and 130/30 investor, Steve Cochrane, the Chief Investment Officer of the North Dakota State Investment Board (NDSIB).  With over 26 years of institutional investment experience Steve is responsible for the administration of the agency as well as overseeing a $5.4 billion diversified investment portfolio.  The NDSIB was selected as a nominee for Money Management Letter’s 2007 Savviest Public Plan of the Year and is a speaker at Terrapinn’s upcoming 130/30 conference in Santa Monica.   

130/30: How it works for North Dakota State Retirement Scheme

Special to AllAboutAlpha.com by: Steve Cochrane, Chief Investment Officer, North Dakota State Investment Board

After twenty years in the institutional investment management business, I came to a monumental realization that what I had learned in business school is true: large cap securities that are actively traded in major financial markets are most likely efficiently priced.  It has now been eight years since that awakening.

The efficient markets hypothesis (EMH) was originally developed in the late 1960’s.  It states that market prices should reflect all information known about a security.  After forty-five years of research and testing, most agree that this hypothesis is increasingly correct as capitalization and liquidity increase.  When it comes to the Large Cap Domestic Equity asset class in the United States, theory converges with reality. 

I arrived in North Dakota to assume the CIO role in January of 1997. Awaiting me was a US$2 billion pension fund with an array of active managers who were benchmarked against the S&P500 index of large cap stocks, as well as S&P500 style benchmarks.  While some were growth oriented and others pursued value and yield investing, they all had one thing in common: underperformance relative to benchmark.

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Jaeger Replies to Kat’s Scepticism on Alternative Beta

26 February 2008

Lars Jaeger’s recent commentary on “alternative beta” (see posting) raised the ire of Professor Harry Kat (see posting).  Today, Dr. Jaeger responds to Kat’s protests by highlighting the “inconsistencies” in his arguments.

Special to AllAboutAlpha.com by: Lars Jaeger, Ph.D., CFA, FRM, Partner, Partners Group

In his reply to my recent contribution at AllAboutAlpha.com, Harry Kat says that he agrees with “several points” in my argument (I only made a few key points anyway).  Specifically, Kat seemed to agree that factor models capture mostly the “traditional beta” in hedge funds.  Further, he seemed to agree with my argument that “hedge fund replication isn’t really about replicating hedge funds. It is about replicating hedge fund indices.”  And he goes on to re-state many of my original points.

We seem to be in agreement on some very fundamental points. That is good news to me, as Harry has not always agreed with much what I have said in the past.  However, he then suggests that there is a need to “fill in the picture” as my comments were only “part of the hedge fund replication story.”

I surely never claimed to know the entire hedge fund replication “story”.  But what he actually provides us with - in order to “fill in the picture” - is merely a performance comparison between the ART Index (Goldman Sachs’ replication product) and the PG ABS Index (the Partners Group Alternative Beta Strategies). 

In doing so, Harry is inconsistent in at least three ways.  Firstly, he is inconsistent in the way he applies fees in his analysis.  While he compares the PG ABS net of fees, he chooses to report the performance of the ART index gross of fees, a rather important difference as hedge fund investors surely understand.

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



No Country for Old Men

25 February 2008

As we discussed earlier in the month, “liability-driven investing” is often viewed as an enlightened approach to managing pension plan assets.  After all, what’s the use of beating an S&P 500 bogey when a plan’s liabilities are rising due to fluctuations in exchange rates or other factors.  Some pensions have opted to fully insulate themselves from the volatility of its liabilities by hedging away the financial risks that cause it.

But there are a few factors that can’t easily be hedged.  Chief among them is “longevity risk” - the risk that retirees live longer than the pension plan had expected.  This has put the spotlight on the mortality assumptions underpinning pension plans.  Apparently, since we stopped smoking during pregnancy and allowing our kinds to eat lead paint, we’re all living a lot longer.  Still, predicting the future of the human lifespan has been devilishly hard and remains open to opinion. 

Last week British pension regulators tried to standardize things a little - and, it hopes, prevent pension plans from using overly pessimistic mortality predictions in order to reduce funding shortfalls.  This article on the British Telecom pension plan says that the new regulations would immediately put the plan into hawk - knocking it from a slight surplus to a 2 billion pound deficit:

“Problems could widen further, according to [industry consultant John] Ralfe, as he believes ‘BT’s longevity assumptions remain weak’ so were the fund to state its mortality assumptions as being ‘medium cohort’ – i.e. two years longer than currently stated – the assumption is this would increase liabilities by £3bn to £45.9bn – 18% higher than currently reported.”

Specifically, the UK pension regulator (known officially as “TPR” for “The…Pension…Regulator”) said it would now keep a closer eye on plans that use over pessimistic mortality assumptions or that assume the century-long rise in longevity will eventually come to an end.  Warned the regulator:

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



“Appetite for alpha to rise” according to institutional survey

12 February 2008

According to a new survey from the “Thinking Ahead Group” at consulting firm Watson Wyatt, “respondents expected the appetite for alpha to rise, stirred by a focus on absolute return investment, premised on greater investment product transparency.”

Perhaps strangely then, survey respondents have ranked hedge funds, funds of funds, large consultants (Watson Wyatt?) and buy-out firms as “industry losers” in terms of revenue growth.  Multi-strategy funds, fiduciary management, niche consultants and investment banks were judged to be likely “industry winners” according to the survey.  (Hedge fund blogs, in case you were wondering, were not included in this particular survey).

Specifically, 73% of nearly 500 respondents (mostly European) agreed or “strongly agreed” with the statement, “Appetite for alpha will grow significantly due to the need for higher returns”.  Conversely, only 12% agreed or strongly agreed that “Appetite for alpha will be modest, reflecting doubts about its sustainability and likely impact.”

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Alternative Viewpoints: Réplication de fonds de couverture

4 February 2008

As we pointed out in a posting a couple of weeks ago, there seems to be a little je ne sais quoi in the water in Montreal that breeds hedge fund replication providers.  Today, Montreal-based Pierre Saint-Laurent, head of the Canadian chapter of the CAIA Association weighs in on why the city founded by sailors in 1642 is now making waves in the hedge fund world.

Why Montreal is such a hotbed of hedge fund replication research

Special to AllAboutAlpha.com by: Pierre Saint-Laurent, CFA, CAIA, president of AssetCounsel Inc. and head of the Canadian chapter of the CAIA Association

Alternative investments, and hedge funds in particular, have raked in the assets so far in the 21st century because of low returns from traditional strategies, pension fund deficits, an urge to diversify (and maintain low correlations even when all traditional asset classes spike, such as in the tech meltdown) and somewhat of a ‘nothing works anymore’ mindset.

Indeed, investors seem to like alternatives so much that they are willing to deal with lower transparency, hard-to-explain strategies, and (arguably) higher fees.  There’s a reason for all that: alternative asset managers, and hedge fund managers in particular, need the secrecy and privacy to move quickly and efficiently.

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Public Service Announcement: Our monthly email was sent out today (Feb. 4)

4 February 2008

A few of the over 2,000 subscribers to our monthly email update have commented that they aren’t receiving this regular list of most popular postings.  For those who want to talk to their IT departments about this problem, here’s a heads-up that a monthly “Alpha Mail” was sent out at about 3pm US Eastern Time on Monday, February 4th.  Enjoy.

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



SocGen named “Equity Derivatives House of the Year”

25 January 2008

One hot houseEarlier this month, Risk Magazine named venerable French bank Societe Generale as tops in its annual “Risk Awards“.  According to the magazine:

“With one of the largest exotics books on the Street, one would imagine that Société Générale Corporate and Investment Banking (SG CIB) would be licking its wounds and coping with hundreds of millions of euros in losses [after August’s market turmoil].”

A senior SocGen executive tells Risk about the importance of client relationships over short-term performance:

“We always quoted to clients and we were always present. For me, it was more important to be there for clients rather than worry about any mark-to-market losses on a few trading positions. Our reputational franchise is worth far more than any loss during one month,”

The article goes into detail about a myriad of “innovative” derivatives and structured products (volatility smiles, “CrossRoads”, structured products, vega-negative strategies…).  The question on everyone’s mind: Is this innovation the key to becoming the world’s hottest equity derivatives house?

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



New research illustrates wide-ranging implications of the ubiquitous “high water mark”

21 January 2008

Remember when Goldman Sachs, smarting from mega-losses in its quant hedge funds, offered new investors a one-time opportunity to invest at a reduced fee (1% management fee plus 10% of profits, instead of 2% and 20%)?  At the time, we suggested that such a fire sale can have unintended consequences (see related posting).  Unlike dropping the price of, say, a car, dropping the fees on an investment fund directly impact the value created by the product.  So fiddling with the price can make the quality of the product look better - a particular benefit for the supplier when the product may not be performing very well.

Now a new academic study by Sugata Ray and Indraneel Chakraborty at Wharton reveals that messing around with performance fees can have a material impact on the manager’s effort, the fund’s volatility and even the manager’s propensity to “walk away” from the fund altogether.  As the authors acknowledge, their findings support common intuition - that managers are more likely to buckle down when the high water mark (”HWM”) is in sight, more likely to swing for the fences when it’s not, and more likely to walk away when they feel it’s totally out of reach. 

We’ll get into these effects below.  But first, here is the authors’ take on the Goldman situation we discussed in August.  It clearly illustrates the mechanics by which a seemingly benign metric can have such wide-ranging implications:

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Your Interview with Author Richard Bookstaber

6 January 2008

Regular readers may remember our two part review of “A Demon of Our Own Design“, a fascinating account of the recent history of risk management by hedge fund manager Richard Bookstaber.  As you may recall, the book was released just in time for August’s hedge fund melt-down making it exceedingly timely and propelling Bookstaber into the international limelight.  In fact Forbes recently instructed its readers to “Run off to your nearest bookstore and fetch yourself copies of Richard Bookstaber’s engrossing A Demon of Our Own Design…”  

To keep you, our loyal readers, on the cutting edge of asset management trends, AllAboutAlpha’s Alpha Male will be conducting an in-person interview with Bookstaber (along with two other asset management commentators Tris Lett - see related postings and John Ilkiw - see related posting) this Tuesday, January 8th.  But in the spirit of interactivity that underpins all we do at AllAboutAlpha.com, we are asking you to submit the questions that you would like him to ask.  If you’ve read his book and have a follow-up question or just have a query about something on his blog, please drop us an email at alphamale(at)allaboutalpha(dot)com.  The interview is scheduled for Tuesday evening, so you have until 5pm Tuesday to send us your questions.   

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



2007’s Top AllAboutAlpha.com Postings

30 December 2007

This is the 360th posting on AllAboutAlpha.com for 2007.  For those keeping score at home, here are some of the year’s most popular postings.  Enjoy and Happy New Year! 

Category: Most Downloaded Posting

Category: Most Downloaded Guest Posting

Category: Most Downloads on First Day

Category: Most Popular External Link to Off-Beat Humour

The Top 15 Recurring Favorites (ranked by downloads per month

  1. New study finds 130/30 outperforms long-only in back tests (September 18)
  2. 130/30 A New Paradigm or A Fad? Exclusive results from new survey (September 5)
  3. New research explores whether 130/30 is actually “optimal” (August 1)
  4. 120-20 reaches mythical proportions? (October 14)
  5. First Quadrant challenges convention on short-extension strategies (November 1)
  6. McKinsey: Traditional asset managers trapped in a “vise-like” squeeze (September 16)
  7. 130/30 Quant vs. Fundamental: Quants have a bigger spice cabinet (November 11)
  8. Fahrenheit 130/30 (March 9)
  9. Is previous research on hedge fund performance persistence “biased”? (October 28)
  10. Two new studies reveal secret sauce used by activist hedge funds (August 28)
  11. Kat: Why Accurately Replicated Hedge Fund Indices Won’t Do You Much Good (March 3)
  12. Mommy, Where do alphas come from? (May 15)
  13. What a difference a couple of months (and a few cups of coffee) makes (October 9)
  14. Sorry Letters, Accident Scenes and Hedge Fund Asteroids (August 18)

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



November not the new August after all

10 December 2007

Well it happened again - big time.  The widely quoted “HFRI” index of hedge funds smoked the less-quoted, but more timely investable version, the “HFRX”.  Last week we wrote that the HFRX beat the HFRI regularly - but particularly when both indices were down on the month.  Well, true to form, both indices were down in November, and the HFRI beat the HFRX by 100 basis points (1.4% vs. 2.4%).  Kind of takes the air out of the “November is the new August” storyline.  But there are always some great crash and burn stories to satisfy your sense of schadenfreude.

Here’s a brief history of the past week:

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Remember the days when $1.25 trillion was a lot of money?

2 December 2007

Dr. Evil: Here’s the plan. We get the warhead and we hold the world ransom for…ONE MILLION DOLLARS!
Number Two:
Don’t you think we should ask for more than a million dollars?  A million dollars isn’t exactly a lot of money these days.
Dr. Evil: Okay then, we hold the world ransom for…One… Hundred…BILLION DOLLARS!

In the string of classic movies about a randy, orthodontically-challenged British spy from the 1960’s named Austin Powers, comedian Mike Myers plays the prototypical bad-guy “Doctor Evil.”  Frozen in time since the summer of love, Doctor Evil concocts a plan to hold the world of 1997 ransom for the then astronomical sum of one million dollars.  When his second in command “Number Two” played by Robert Wagner tells him that one million dollars is wildly out of date, he quickly adjusts the figure upward hoping no one would really notice.

In a way, that’s what is happening now in the game of guess-the-size-of-the-hedge-fund-industry.  As the Wall Street Journal pointed out last week, some pundits have recently pegged the number at $1.25 trillion (with pinky firmly planted at edge of mouth a la Myers).  But without missing a beat, other experts have recently put it at $1.48 trillion and even at $2.48 trillion (see graphic from WSJ below). 

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Edhec hedge fund replication research now online

2 December 2007

Regular readers may recall this story we did on a research study by Edhec, the French business school, last spring.  The study contained a comprehensive analysis of various so-called hedge fund replication strategies.  At the time we directed you to Edhec if you wanted to buy the whole report since it wasn’t available to the public.

Well if you’ve been holding out since June, waiting for it to go on sale, this is your day.  In the wake of a highly successful conference in London, Edhec has now released both the white paper and a set of accompanying slides used at the event.

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Is there alternative beta in alternative energy?

26 November 2007

We’re always on the look-out for new and different market risk factors or betas here at the AllAboutAlpha global headquarters.  So with all the talk recently about alternative energy (such as a session at this Toronto energy conference next week hosted by AllAboutAlpha media partner Lipper HedgeWorld), we started wondering if there was actually a market risk factor associated with so-called “clean energy” companies that was separate and distinct from the energy factor itself.   

We found this article in Forbes late last month exemplified the general level of excitement about alternative energy.  It cites impressive YTD growth of several alternative energy ETFs such as the US$660 million PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy ETF (PBW).  This makes immediate sense.  After all, clean energy is the next big thing, right? 

It turns out that PBW daily returns have a 64% correlation to the S&P Energy Select SPDRs (XLE), an ETF containing old-fashioned energy companies (calculated using data available at Google Finance).  That’s not really that high.  Here’s what the one year scatter plot of PBW and XLE daily returns looks like:

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



Casey Quirk’s Brave New ($12 trillion) World

20 November 2007

In early October, we wrote about a report by consultancy Casey Quirk and Merrill Lynch that heralded a ”brave new world” in the investment management industry.  We were particularly interested to  see that LDI, Unified Managed Accounts (UMAs) and 130/30 were going to be part of this new world.  At the time, the report had not yet been released to the public.  Now the report is available online here.   

The report raises the usual alarm bells about market-to-market regulations making pension funding status more volatile, and about the transfer of retirement risk from corporations and governments to individuals via the closure of defined benefit plans (what the authors call “The Big Put”, but many pensioners refer to as “The Big Screw”).  These issues, plus a low-yield environment, will continue to put pressure on the funding status of the world’s pension plans - although thankfully, things appear to have stabilized according the chart below from the report:

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



What do AllAboutAlpha.com, John Bogle and Robert Reich have in common?

12 November 2007

Pension & Investments, “The International Newspaper of Money Management” launched its new blog feature today, christening it the “Blog Bank“.  The Blog Bank currently contains 27 blogs selected by P&I editors. 

And once again, AllAboutAlpha.com is ranked near the top of the list (okay, it’s alphabetical) - edged out by perennial winner, our good friend “Abnormal Returns“. 

Also on the list are bloggers extraordinaire Barry Ritholz (”The Big Picture“), Paul Kedrosky (”Infectious Greed“) and Greg Newton (”Naked Shorts“) along with MSM blogs FT Alphaville, NYT Dealbook and WSJ MarketBeat.  In addition, celebrity blogs starring John Bogle (”Bogle eBlog“) and former US Cabinet Secretary Robert Reich (creatively named “Robert Reich’s Blog“) are in the Bank.    

Why lop such a recalcitrant, iconoclastic and seditious blog as AllAboutAlpha in with such august company?  Apparently to mix it up a little.  Last month P&I described our editorial committee as the “rabble-rousing, reformed-hedge-fund-manager blog editors“.

You can take that to the bank.

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



The assets are falling! The assets are falling!

11 November 2007

Last week, media reports trumpeted that investors removed $3.5bn from equity market neutral hedge funds in September (see data).

This makes perfect sense, really.  According to one report it was because some of them “made losses of more than 30% during the previous month, even though they are intended to move independently of the stock markets.”

But it’s often the stories that “make perfect sense” that subsequently go unchallenged and unquestioned.  So we thought a sober second thought might be in order…

a) While it’s true that a few high profile funds (out of 9,000) were down big time, the HFRI Hedge Fund Composite Index, a broad measure of hedge fund performance was down only 1.5% - a far cry from “more than 30%“.

b) The S&P 500 was actually up in August, not down.  So it’s not clear what this report means by “moving independently of the stock markets“.  But even if both the market and the HFRI were down a lot in August, that still wouldn’t say anything about the correlation between the two.  After all, two uncorrelated coins flipped together could both end up heads at the same time.  Would that mean they are actually correlated after all?  (see related posting)

c) But the element that really gives us pause is this: the source of the asset outflow data, database company Barclayhedge, made the same sort of pronouncement last month (about August’s asset numbers) - only to recant a few days later when the firm realized assets had actually grown in July, not shrunk. 

In fairness, last month was the first time this particular study had been undertaken.  And this new data may well be totally accurate this time, but it underscores the danger of rushing to conclusion regarding hedge fund data - especially when that conclusion is so easy to believe.

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



130/30 Quant vs. Fundamental: Quants have a bigger spice cabinet

11 November 2007

On Friday, we reported on the debate about which type of manager was better qualified to execute a 130/30 strategy, a quantitative manager or a manager using fundamental research. 

For more on this topic, we refer you to HedgeWorld’s Emma Trincal, who was covering the same event.  Trincal has written an encyclopedia worth of material on the hedge fund industry and has seen it all.  In this article, she does a great job of laying out the arguments made by participants in Terrapinn’s “Portable Alpha & 130/30″ conference last week. 

We tend to agree with those who say quants own the lead in the space because their massive stock ranking systems gave them a head start.  Ergo, the story goes, fundamental managers will gradually claw their way back.

However, there is one slightly more nuanced argument that we’d like to make in quants’ favour before we leave this topic.

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



A Shortage of Shorts?

8 November 2007

With 1X0/X0 strategies pegged to draw in trillions over the next decade, the sticky question of the potential market impact was top of mind today in New York at a conference focused on portable alpha and 130/30 strategies.  Participants ruminated on portable alpha yesterday.  Today was all 130/30.

With the short selling required for 130/30, the 800 pound gorilla in the room was the finite supply of stock actually available to borrow.  In a posting last fall, we discussed a report by Goldman Sachs on this topic (see related posting).  Speakers here seem to share our skepticism about whether this posed an immediate problem. 

However, many weren’t so sanguine about the longer term.  I asked Deutsche Bank’s Brian Bausano, Co-head of Global Prime Finance for the firm, whether there would someday be a “shortage of shorts”.  He replied that, notwithstanding today’s huge excess borrow capacity, potential shortages would be “non-linear” and would likely occur in certain parts of the market first.  For example, he suggested that borrow shortages would likely show up in small-cap names first since small cap names are more likely to be shorted by 130/30 managers and since there is simply less stock available in these names.

Read the rest of this entry »

E-Mail This Post/Page Email this post to a friend  Print This Post/Page Print This Post 

Comments »



« Previous Entries


Recent Posts