Browsing: Behavioral finance

Behavioral finance

Cause and Effect: Or, Shooting the Messenger

Aug 27th, 2015 | Filed under: Behavioral finance, Media Coverage of Hedge Funds

Not even Schrodinger blamed the reporters for market irrationality. Saying out loud, "Hey, this cat is dead," doesn't kill the cat. Read More

Crisis? Tempted to Flee to Shelter of Big Funds? Bad Idea

Jul 29th, 2015 | Filed under: Alpha Hunters, Alpha Strategies, Behavioral finance, CAPM / Alpha Theory, Hedge Fund Industry Trends, Hedge Fund Strategies, Institutional Investing

The authors of a new study of the relationship between fund size and performance employ a database consisting of 7,261 funds and their performance over a twenty year period (1994 to 2014). Spoiler alert: size is bad. Especially in a crisis.Read More

Intraday Momentum Confirmed: Day Traders Credited

Mar 24th, 2015 | Filed under: Behavioral finance, CAPM / Alpha Theory, Derivatives, ETFs

The first half-hour return of the S&P 500 ETF predicts the last half-hour return of the same trading day rather well. Why isn't this effect arbitraged away and a random walk restored? Read More

Alpha, Love, and Marriage

Mar 10th, 2015 | Filed under: Alpha Hunters, Behavioral finance, Risk management

The most important turning points of our lives tend to have consequences for our alpha seeking. A new paper gives us some insight into what those consequences are, and how they vary as to strategies.Read More

Money Markets: The Cure to What Ails the Sukuk Space

Dec 22nd, 2014 | Filed under: Behavioral finance, Emerging markets

Two World Bank economists review the impediments that face the growth of the sukuk market, impediments often inherent in the theological precepts that gave rise to it. Part of the solution: well-functioning money markets as a context for sukuk issuance. Read More

Stop Draghi[ng] My Heart Around

Nov 9th, 2014 | Filed under: Behavioral finance, Currencies

Draghi and Yellen seem to be headed in opposite directions. One is revving up the money-creation engine, the other is 'tapering.' So why is Yellen so publicly supportive of Draghi? And what happened to the rebellion within the ECB? Read More

Hedge vs. Mutual Funds and the ‘Timing of Information Acquisition’

Oct 28th, 2014 | Filed under: Behavioral finance, CAPM / Alpha Theory

A new paper by a scholar at the McCombs School of Business looks at what causes what on Wall Street, starting with how (if at all) analyst downgrades cause price declines. Read More

Hong Kong Shariah-Compliant Launch Sells

Sep 22nd, 2014 | Filed under: Behavioral finance, Emerging markets

If I should declare that I will never eat duck, and then I simply re-name certain ducks “chickens” and eat them, then people who genuinely as a matter of principle refuse to eat duck may consider me a false friend. And those who have no objection to the eating of duck may think me a silly goose. Read More

Betting on Vice Doesn’t Really Pan Out

Sep 9th, 2014 | Filed under: Alpha Strategies, Behavioral finance, CAPM / Alpha Theory, Social investing

Christopher Faille, inspired by Greg Richey, of California State University, San Bernardino, has a few words about socially irresponsible investing, that is, the creation of a portfolio built around destructive human vices. Read More

Natural-Language Processing: After the Initial Buzz

Jun 10th, 2013 | Filed under: Alpha Seekers, Alpha Strategies, Behavioral finance

You can't expect to harvest much alpha if you simply buy on good sentiment as measured through news or on the web, and sell on negative sentiment. As the authors of this white paper put it in quant-speak, such predictive value as these measures have 'does not translate ... cleanly into return space.'" Read More

Time Flies and Statistics Lag: Thoughts on Factors

Aug 14th, 2012 | Filed under: Behavioral finance

Clifford Asness and Andrea Frazzini show that an important detail in the way scholars go about studying factor pricing and behavioral finance is seriously flawed. The detail in question dates to an influential paper by Eugene Fama and Kenneth French, "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," (1992). Read More

Efficiency May Be Special Case of Adaptation

Apr 24th, 2012 | Filed under: Alpha Strategies, Behavioral finance, Hedge Fund Strategies

In a new paper, Andrew Lo has educed from his Adaptive Markets Hypothesis five practical conclusions, among them that during times of crisis, the usual positive relationship between risk and return may not hold. There is in general a "time-varying and often negative relationship between the two." Read More