130/30 funds: So much for $2 trillion by 2010…

Oct 7th, 2008 | Filed under: 130/30, Today's Post

The short-term future of 130/30 funds has been thrown into doubt as a result of the short selling ban over-staying its welcome.  Consultancy the Tabb Group made headlines last year with its prediction that the market for 130/30 funds would reach $2 trillion by 2010.  But according to a Financial News report on the weekend,

“…Larry Tabb, chief executive of Tabb, said: “I do not see how these funds can work if they can’t short. The whole model may be in jeopardy.”

The article goes on to say that Tabb has substantially revised its predictions for 130/30 sales.  And he may well be right.  Invesco, for one, has taken a pending Australian 130/30 fund off the barbie for now.

As we have reported before, many 130/30 funds performed poorly in August 2007 because most tend to be quant funds.  That tendency to use quant models has apparently bitten 130/30 funds in the butt once again.  As one expert told Financial News:

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